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Wednesday, 11 March 2026

UK and European markets traded with a cautious undertone as investors continued to weigh the inflationary implications of higher energy costs, while the UK market remained relatively defensive thanks to its heavier exposure to energy and other internationally oriented sectors. The broader regional mood was restrained by concern that the oil shock could complicate the path for central banks, with bond yields still elevated and policy expectations less benign than they were only a short while ago.

US equities were comparatively steady, with investors balancing resilient corporate earnings against the risk that firmer energy prices could revive inflation pressure and delay easier monetary policy. The tone on Wall Street was selective rather than fully risk-on, as strength in parts of the technology complex helped offset caution elsewhere, leaving the market focused on whether the recent oil-driven volatility becomes a broader macro headwind.

Asia-Pacific markets staged a rebound after the worst of the recent oil-led sell-off, helped by signs that policymakers were moving to stabilise energy markets and by a view that the earlier decline had become overly severe. Even so, sentiment across the region remains highly sensitive to crude prices, particularly in the large energy-importing economies, where investors are still testing whether this week’s recovery marks the start of a steadier phase or only a pause in a more volatile period

Oil remained the dominant market driver, though the tone improved after the International Energy Agency announced an unprecedented, coordinated release of emergency reserves to ease supply fears linked to the disruption around the Strait of Hormuz. That intervention helped pull crude away from its recent extremes, but the market is still trading with a strong geopolitical risk premium and remains acutely sensitive to any indication of further disruption or de-escalation.

Gold continued to draw support from its safe-haven role, although gains were tempered by the competing effect of higher energy prices and the risk that inflation persistence could keep interest rates tighter for longer. The metal therefore remains caught between geopolitical demand for safety and the market’s shifting view on policy easing, leaving price action firm but not one-directional.

UK equities were also shaped by stock-specific developments. BP was in focus after climate focused investors threatened legal action over the group’s refusal to put a shareholder resolution on transition planning to a vote, adding a governance angle to the wider energy sector debate. Separately, the UK market backdrop remains supportive for capital markets reform after the first private company trading under the new Pisces framework was lined up, reinforcing the sense that policymakers are still searching for ways to deepen domestic equity participation and improve London’s appeal as a funding venue.

Markets at

15:00

VALUE

CHANGE

FTSE 100

FTSE 250

DAX

10,355

22,432

23,662

(-0.55%)

(-0.27%)

(-1.28%)

15:00

Dow Jones

S&P 500

NASDAQ

47,538

6,788

22,742

(-0.35%)

+0.11%

+0.20%

Fixed Income

UK 10-YR Yield

4.634

Exchange Rates

PAIR

RATE

GBP/USD

GBP/EUR

GBP/ZAR

1.342

1.158

21.98

Commodities

VALUE

CHANGE

Gold

Brent

5,188

91.72

(-0.08%)

+3.12

Important - No news or research item should be construed as a recommendation to trade. The inclusion of securities within this report does not necessarily imply their suitability for individual portfolios or situations in respect of which further advice should be sought. Information contained in this report has been compiled from sources believed to be reliable but is not warranted to be accurate or complete.

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